PolymarketOpen

Will the fight end in a decision or draw?

Yes71%

No29%

Price checked at Oct 24, 12:38 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$886

7d volume$1.7K

30d volume$1.7K

Liquidity$2.4K

Spread6%

ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 14 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Polymarket	60% Petr Yan	$276.3K	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	70% Yes	$3.1K	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	95% No	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	78% No	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	93% No	$703	—	—	Open
O/U 4.5 Rounds	Polymarket	74% Over	$76	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	77% No	$73	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 5?	Polymarket	76% No	$43	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 3?	Polymarket	97% No	$33	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 2?	Polymarket	97% No	$33	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 1?	Polymarket	97% No	$29	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 4?	Polymarket	98% No	$29	—	—	Open
Will Petr Yan win in Round 4?	Polymarket	95% No	$10	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	81% Over	$9	—	—	Open
O/U 3.5 Rounds	Polymarket	77% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 4?	Polymarket	82% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Petr Yan win in Round 3?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Petr Yan win in Round 5?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	94% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 5?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Petr Yan win in Round 2?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	87% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	88% Over	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 01:41 PM UTC