UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Petr Yan60%
Merab Dvalishvili41%

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24h volume$276.3K
7d volume$499.8K
30d volume$524.8K
Liquidity$174.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 14 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles draw/no contest/cancelled cases to fair price/0.50, while Polymarket and Limitless use 50-50 for draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond the stated date. The published criteria differ only in resolution mechanics, not in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Merab Dvalishvili wins

    If Merab Dvalishvili wins the Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 21, 06:30 AM UTC

  • UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    2 holders · read Oct 24, 09:30 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?Polymarket93% NoOpen
O/U 4.5 RoundsPolymarket73% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 5?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 3?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 2?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 1?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 4?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win in Round 4?Polymarket95% NoOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket82% OverOpen
O/U 3.5 RoundsPolymarket77% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 4?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win in Round 3?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win in Round 1?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win in Round 5?Polymarket96% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket94% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 5?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Petr Yan win in Round 2?Polymarket96% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket88% OverOpen

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As of Oct 24, 02:13 PM UTC