KalshiResolvedPart of a cross-venue question

Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

No85%

Atsumi Harasawa15%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$174

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Atsumi Harasawa wins the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves on October 18, 2026 based on official Yokohama City Election Administration results with a fallback to 'Other' if results aren't known by April 30, 2027. Kalshi resolves October 25, 2026 and permits accelerated resolution by media consensus. Both reference the same underlying election result.

Open
Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
this market
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
If Atsumi Harasawa wins the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
read Oct 19, 01:01 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Takeharu Yamanaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	98% No	$160	—	—	Open
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Sachiko Fujikawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	96% No	$23	—	—	Open
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Atsushi Fukuyama win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Riken Yamamoto win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 05:53 AM UTC