Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

No—
Yuka Asaka—

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ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Yuka Asaka wins the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves on October 25, 2026 (one week after election) while Polymarket resolves on October 18, 2026 (election day), both using official Yokohama City Election Administration results. Kalshi allows accelerated resolution by media consensus; Polymarket falls back to "Other" if results unclear by April 30, 2027. These procedural differences do not alter the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Yokohama mayoral election winner?: Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

    If Yuka Asaka wins the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

    read Oct 14, 07:04 AM UTC

  • Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

    The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).

    15 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 19, 08:25 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 08:36 AM UTC