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Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?: Will the 25th Amendment be used before Jan 1, 2027?

No91%
Before Jan 1, 20279%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 24, 07:18 PM UTC