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Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?: Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? Before 2029

No76%
Before 202924%

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24h volume$438.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 02:09 AM UTC