KalshiOpen

When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Jul 1, 2027

No54%
Before Jul 1, 202746%

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24h volume$11
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract. Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes. Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect. The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Jan 1, 2027Kalshi95% NoOpen
When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Apr 1, 2027Kalshi62% NoOpen
When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Oct 1, 2027Kalshi62% Before Oct 1, 2027Open
When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Jan 20, 2029Kalshi84% Before Jan 20, 2029Open
When will marijuana be rescheduled? Before Jan 1, 2028Kalshi68% Before Jan 1, 2028Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:52 PM UTC