KalshiResolved

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? gemini-4-argon-high

gemini-4-argon-high99%

No1%

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24h volume$468

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 12, 202613 days ago

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? claude-opus-4-6-high	Kalshi	99% No	$94	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? claude-opus-5.5-high	Kalshi	99% No	$66	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? gemini-3.8-flash-high	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? claude-opus-5-max	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? claude-opus-4-6	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? claude-fable-5.1-max	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 10:41 AM UTC