Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Yes86%
No15%

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24h volume$3
7d volume$763
30d volume$8.1K
Liquidity$11.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies resolution by People or credible reporting and includes rules for multiple or absent honorees; Kalshi publishes no comparable resolution criteria. Their stated resolution times differ (December 31, 2026 at 00:00 UTC versus 15:00 UTC), but this is a settlement-time difference rather than a different question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.

  • People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Noah Wyle

    If Noah Wyle is People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by People. Any references to People, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between People and Kalshi.

    read Oct 22, 01:20 PM UTC

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Comments8

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8 comments

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  • CalculatedRisk08 · 2 days ago

    Can someone explain why the hell Noah is this much of a favorite. I think he might have an edge on Ali G, but.....

  • EmeraldEdge · 2 months ago

    Please add Yabdiel Cotto

  • chudhunter · 5 months ago

    ez win

  • retarmillydio · 5 months ago

    Easy win for Clav here, easy money for us

  • iutwpfal · 7 months ago

    So many good names

  • Htown1738 · 7 months ago

    Says you, bud

  • Dob1 · 8 months ago

    Timothée Chalamet has no sex appeal

  • Hakei. · 8 months ago

    Yo wtf add me to the list

As of Oct 24, 06:42 PM UTC