PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

No94%

Yes6%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$474.2

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after the 2026 deadline and specifies People or credible reporting as its source, with rules for multiple winners or no announcement; Kalshi resolves earlier and does not publish equivalent detailed criteria. These differences do not materially change the event being measured.

Polymarketthis market
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.
43 holders · 7 comments · read Sep 22, 10:28 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Timothée Chalamet
If Timothée Chalamet is People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by People. Any references to People, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between People and Kalshi.
read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Polymarket	90% No	$7.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 7 days ago

Holders43

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments7

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296610396479277477040103171762748708252536045598827772202980391865254710396765119
0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd10396479277477040103171762748708252536045598827772202980391865254710396765119
El-Coronel5748755663394163980111799080810479668203966805541715418860023064880106813587
AlphaPengu1n10396479277477040103171762748708252536045598827772202980391865254710396765119
Nicoledxb5748755663394163980111799080810479668203966805541715418860023064880106813587

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL84%$1127 days ago
BUY94%$35.5last month
BUY94%$4.7last month
BUY95%$94.5last month
BUY95%$35.9last month
BUY95%$1.6last month

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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7 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

EmeraldEdge · 26 days ago
Please add Yabdiel Cotto
chudhunter · 4 months ago
ez win
retarmillydio · 4 months ago
Easy win for Clav here, easy money for us
iutwpfal · 7 months ago
So many good names
Htown1738 · 7 months ago
Says you, bud
Dob1 · 7 months ago
Timothée Chalamet has no sex appeal
Hakei. · 8 months ago
Yo wtf add me to the list

As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC