Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 50,000
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the change in total U.S. nonfarm payroll employment reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026 is above 50,000. Outcome sourced from BLS. Settlement is based on the Employment Situation Report release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on November 6, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes. If no qualifying change in U.S. nonfarm payroll employment figure for the specified month is released within three months of the Employment Situation Report scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20NFPC%20-%20(2026.04.03).pdf
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 0 | PolymarketUs | 86% Yes | Open |
| Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above -50,000 | PolymarketUs | 97% Yes | Open |
| Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 100,000 | PolymarketUs | 67% No | Open |
| Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above -100,000 | PolymarketUs | 98% Yes | Open |
| Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 150,000 | PolymarketUs | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 06:31 PM UTC