Polymarket USOpen

Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 0

Yes86%
No15%

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24h volume$1.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 21, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the change in total U.S. nonfarm payroll employment reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026 is above 0. Outcome sourced from BLS. Settlement is based on the Employment Situation Report release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on November 6, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes. If no qualifying change in U.S. nonfarm payroll employment figure for the specified month is released within three months of the Employment Situation Report scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20NFPC%20-%20(2026.04.03).pdf

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above -50,000PolymarketUs97% YesOpen
Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 50,000PolymarketUs59% YesOpen
Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 100,000PolymarketUs67% NoOpen
Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above -100,000PolymarketUs98% YesOpen
Jobs Numbers in October 2026: Above 150,000PolymarketUs94% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 09:20 PM UTC