Biggest Mover: Charles Leclerc
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Charles Leclerc has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Position Differential: Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position. Starting Grid: Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start. If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them. If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used. Final Position: Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted. If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used. Eligibility: Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison. A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison. Ties / Dead Heats: If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent) and No pays $1 minus the Yes payout, where N is the number of tied drivers. Official FIA ties in grid or finishing position keep the tied number for each driver, and the next position skips ahead (e.g., a tie at P2 gives 1, 2, 2, 4). Stopped, Postponed, or Cancelled Races: If the race is red-flagged and not resumed within 48 hours, the classification at the time of stoppage is used, provided the leader completed at least 2 racing laps (laps not entirely under Safety Car or VSC). Otherwise, all markets settle to a fair price. If the race is rescheduled within 48 hours of its original start at the same circuit, the market remains open and resolves based on the rescheduled race. If the race is moved to a different circuit, rescheduled more than 48 hours later, or cancelled, all markets settle to a fair price. If no official grid or classification is available by expiration, all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest Mover: Isack Hadjar | Kalshi | 51% Isack Hadjar | Open |
| Biggest Mover: George Russell | Kalshi | 73% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Fernando Alonso | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Franco Colapinto | Kalshi | 76% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Esteban Ocon | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Nico Hulkenberg | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Alexander Albon | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Carlos Sainz Jr. | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Arvid Lindblad | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Oliver Bearman | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Gabriel Bortoleto | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Andrea Kimi Antonelli | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Liam Lawson | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Pierre Gasly | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Oscar Piastri | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Max Verstappen | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Lance Stroll | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Sergio Perez | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Lando Norris | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Lewis Hamilton | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Biggest Mover: Valtteri Bottas | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 13 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 06:34 PM UTC