KalshiResolved

Biggest Mover: Carlos Sainz Jr.

No99%
Carlos Sainz Jr.1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$14
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 11, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 11Oct 12Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Carlos Sainz Jr. has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Position Differential: Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position. Starting Grid: Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start. If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them. If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used. Final Position: Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted. If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used. Eligibility: Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison. A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison. Ties / Dead Heats: If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent) and No pays $1 minus the Yes payout, where N is the number of tied drivers. Official FIA ties in grid or finishing position keep the tied number for each driver, and the next position skips ahead (e.g., a tie at P2 gives 1, 2, 2, 4). Stopped, Postponed, or Cancelled Races: If the race is red-flagged and not resumed within 48 hours, the classification at the time of stoppage is used, provided the leader completed at least 2 racing laps (laps not entirely under Safety Car or VSC). Otherwise, all markets settle to a fair price. If the race is rescheduled within 48 hours of its original start at the same circuit, the market remains open and resolves based on the rescheduled race. If the race is moved to a different circuit, rescheduled more than 48 hours later, or cancelled, all markets settle to a fair price. If no official grid or classification is available by expiration, all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

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Biggest Mover: Andrea Kimi AntonelliKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Liam LawsonKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Pierre GaslyKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Oscar PiastriKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Max VerstappenKalshi95% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Lance StrollKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Charles LeclercKalshi95% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Sergio PerezKalshi98% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Lando NorrisKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Lewis HamiltonKalshi99% NoOpen
Biggest Mover: Valtteri BottasKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:53 PM UTC