Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
The same question elsewhere
3 venues carry itNobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — International Criminal Court
This market will resolve to YES if International Criminal Court wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for International Criminal Court if International Criminal Court is one of the named laureates. If International Criminal Court is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. This event is not mutually exclusive because the Nobel Peace Prize may be shared by multiple laureates. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).
read Oct 9, 10:37 AM UTC
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? International Criminal Court
If International Criminal Court wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
read Oct 9, 01:54 AM UTC
- this market
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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204 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- DonationsReceiver · 23 days ago
THE PRESIDENT OF PEACE!!!
- DonationsReceiver · 28 days ago
The president of the US and the DUMBEST MOTHERFUCKER ON EARTH should be 2 separate people
- sciuboi · last month
tremendous guy, best guy I've frankly never met!
- adonpoli · last month
Such a good guy
- adonpoli · last month
Yeah sad
- DonationsReceiver · last month
why no liquidity here?
- sciuboi · last month
I love donald
- GenaTheBondKilIer · last month
Trump has ended 8 wars and just started one, he deserves it
- jjjjok6666 · last month
Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your prize, thx
- jjjjok6666 · last month
Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your Nobel prize, thx
- Slimy-Trial · last month
Where is benjamin netanyahu?
- Threadbare-Signal · last month
New entities were added against the rules!!! There was a premise in the previous rules that no new entities will be added!!! That's a clear violation!!!
- TheDao · 2 months ago
They need to add Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs), They consistently top shortlist evaluations by experts like the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), which closely tracks Nobel trends...
- GenaTheBondKilIer · 2 months ago
Discord
- maybebrian · 2 months ago
How do we add options to this? My frontrunners arent even on here
- abdoohl · 2 months ago
Ali IMHO
- sbolt6125 · 2 months ago
omg, nobody please
- Thedevilwearsprada · 2 months ago
Bibi lmao
- DontTrustMe · 3 months ago
But we are Charlie Kirk. So all of us? 🫨
- 8908DFG · 3 months ago
Charlie Kirk
As of Oct 25, 10:45 AM UTC