Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$240
7d volume$1.6K
30d volume$3.6K
Liquidity$52.4K
Spread0%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not publish one; this does not change the event or deadline.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    150 holders · 213 comments · read Sep 29, 08:36 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    read Sep 29, 07:17 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders150
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments203

Best bid 100% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966112167985448024082869173908935600668305426586702085278841767559334167398447501
  • Pure-Threat2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346
  • Threadbare-Signal2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346
  • sciuboi2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346
  • Rorschach-Kovacs2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY0%$0.7yesterday
  • SELL0%$3.52 days ago
  • BUY1%$0.12 days ago
  • BUY100%$225 days ago
  • BUY100%$55.86 days ago
  • BUY1%$1.57 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

203 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • DonationsReceiver · 2 days ago

    The president of the US and the DUMBEST MOTHERFUCKER ON EARTH should be 2 separate people

  • sciuboi · 5 days ago

    tremendous guy, best guy I've frankly never met!

  • adonpoli · 5 days ago

    Such a good guy

  • adonpoli · 5 days ago

    Yeah sad

  • DonationsReceiver · 7 days ago

    why no liquidity here?

  • sciuboi · 9 days ago

    I love donald

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · 10 days ago

    Trump has ended 8 wars and just started one, he deserves it

  • jjjjok6666 · 14 days ago

    Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your prize, thx

  • jjjjok6666 · 14 days ago

    Donny pls finish war in Ukraine and get your Nobel prize, thx

  • Slimy-Trial · 15 days ago

    Where is benjamin netanyahu?

  • Threadbare-Signal · 19 days ago

    New entities were added against the rules!!! There was a premise in the previous rules that no new entities will be added!!! That's a clear violation!!!

  • TheDao · 24 days ago

    They need to add Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs), They consistently top shortlist evaluations by experts like the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), which closely tracks Nobel trends...

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · 25 days ago

    Discord

  • maybebrian · last month

    How do we add options to this? My frontrunners arent even on here

  • abdoohl · last month

    Ali IMHO

  • sbolt6125 · 2 months ago

    omg, nobody please

  • Thedevilwearsprada · 2 months ago

    Bibi lmao

  • DontTrustMe · 2 months ago

    But we are Charlie Kirk. So all of us? 🫨

  • 8908DFG · 2 months ago

    Charlie Kirk

  • vc789bjn · 2 months ago

    hould add the

As of Sep 29, 09:18 PM UTC