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Argentina presidential election: first round winner?: Will Juan Grabois win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

No99%
Juan Grabois1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 2027in 12 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Juan Grabois wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. For elections with runoffs or multiple rounds: if the market does not specify a round, the winner is the ultimate victor of the election. If the market designates a specific round, the winner is the candidate elected in that round or, if the election is not decided in that round, the candidate receiving a plurality of votes in that round, in each case regardless of whether that round is followed by any further round or runoff. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Oct 24, 06:42 PM UTC