Polymarket USOpen

How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $77,500

Yes60%
No41%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$857
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $77,500 at any point from 12:00AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $77,500 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Values outside this market's window are not considered. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $75,000PolymarketUs73% NoOpen
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $67,500PolymarketUs—Open
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $72,500PolymarketUs88% NoOpen
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $70,000PolymarketUs95% NoOpen
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $65,000PolymarketUs—Open
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $62,500PolymarketUs—Open
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $60,000PolymarketUs—Open
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $80,000PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $82,500PolymarketUs100% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 04:20 PM UTC