How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $70,000
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or below $70,000 at any point from 12:00AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 until 12:00AM ET on Nov 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or below $70,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Values outside this market's window are not considered. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $77,500 | PolymarketUs | 57% Yes | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $75,000 | PolymarketUs | 75% No | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $67,500 | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $72,500 | PolymarketUs | 89% No | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $65,000 | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $62,500 | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $60,000 | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $80,000 | PolymarketUs | 100% Yes | Open |
| How low will BTC get in October? — Dips to $82,500 | PolymarketUs | 100% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 11 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 04:55 PM UTC