Prime Minister of Spain after the next election: Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Yes78%
No23%

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ResolvesAug 22, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain .

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The substantive resolution criteria and Aug. 22, 2028 deadline are the same; Limitless additionally identifies the Congress of Deputies and King of Spain as verification sources, while Kalshi publishes no separate source criterion.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Prime Minister of Spain after the next election: Alberto Núñez Feijóo

    If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain .

    0 holders · read Oct 23, 10:08 PM UTC

  • Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?: Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?

    If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

    read Oct 22, 03:53 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election: Pedro SánchezLimitless81% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election: Santiago AbascalLimitless94% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 74% · best ask 84%

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As of Oct 24, 07:11 PM UTC