Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Athletic Club wins
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The same question elsewhere
3 venues carry itRayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Athletic Club wins
This market refers to the La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano (RAY) and Athletic Club (BIL), scheduled for 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC. - RAY: If Rayo Vallecano wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BIL: If Athletic Club wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both RAY and BIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Athletic Club wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
read Oct 12, 09:03 AM UTC
Athletic vs Rayo: regulation time: Athletic wins
This market resolves to Yes if Athletic wins the LaLiga match between Athletic and Rayo scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
read Oct 11, 02:44 PM UTC
- this market
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Athletic Club wins
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
4 holders · read Oct 25, 02:49 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano wins | Limitless | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club end in a draw? | Limitless | 50% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 11 hours agoBest bid 0% · best ask 100%
Top holders
- 0xC36B0C82478B3257866B6023116C1F62a941D970No$86
- 0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$10
- 0xD1c9084Dbf056e19DCFfb8Dd132D495240e0915fYes$0
- 0x491678D7D7f7809aac5930f8D52cf2B758e6190bYes$0
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —0%$04 days ago
- —42%$215 days ago
- —41%$3315 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 25, 01:56 PM UTC