Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano wins

Yes50%
No50%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 20Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Limitless provides its own rules for postponed, abandoned, or officially awarded matches, while Gemini specifies LaLiga, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner as source agencies and refers unresolved cases to its review process. These are resolution-method differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    6 holders · read Oct 25, 02:51 AM UTC

  • Athletic vs Rayo: regulation time: Rayo wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Rayo wins the LaLiga match between Rayo and Athletic scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 11, 04:42 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club end in a draw?Limitless50% YesOpen
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Athletic Club winsLimitless50% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders6
Held value$200
Trades (24h)—
Trades4
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xC36B0C82478B3257866B6023116C1F62a941D970No$186
  • 0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$10
  • 0x637A52f0854d9052259a2DF638c6D8AA74C13F26No$4
  • 0xD1c9084Dbf056e19DCFfb8Dd132D495240e0915fYes$0
  • 0x491678D7D7f7809aac5930f8D52cf2B758e6190bYes$0

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —0%$04 days ago
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  • —68%$316 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 04:26 PM UTC