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PolymarketOpen

Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?

No80%
Yes20%

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24h volume$123
7d volume$753
30d volume$5.8K
Liquidity$18K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen

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Comments8

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8 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Eia · 20 days ago

    Poor Armenians, Polymarket already know your next and has sorted this under Politics · Armenia

  • AyatollahDollar · 5 months ago

    @volku dude, going to reverse-copytrade you

  • BetsAhead · 5 months ago

    Armenia, but it is not likely.

  • pjotrekkk · 7 months ago

    Estonia. Navra. most of people there are ethinc russians and it is a border city

  • leksus · 7 months ago

    what a nonsense

  • Volku · 7 months ago

    any Baltic states esp. Latvia or Estonia or Russian part of Moldova - Nadniestrze

  • DontTrustMe · 7 months ago

    Which country people think of realistically?

  • Master-bettor · 8 months ago

    i believe in you russia

As of Oct 25, 12:40 PM UTC