Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Moonshot
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Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if Moonshot has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI. The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control). If multiple models from different companies are tied for rank #1, the model with the highest Score will be considered the #1-ranked model (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard). If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Google | PolymarketUs | 91% Yes | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Anthropic | PolymarketUs | 93% No | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Meta | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — OpenAI | PolymarketUs | 99% No | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Amazon | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — DeepSeek | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — xAI | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — ByteDance | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Alibaba | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Baidu | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Z.ai | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 08:13 AM UTC