Polymarket USOpen

Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — ByteDance

Yes—

No—

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24h volume$29

7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 21 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if ByteDance has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI. The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena overall leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control). If multiple models from different companies are tied for rank #1, the model with the highest Score will be considered the #1-ranked model (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard). If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Google	PolymarketUs	91% Yes	$15.2K	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Anthropic	PolymarketUs	93% No	$5.7K	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Meta	PolymarketUs	—	$899	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — OpenAI	PolymarketUs	99% No	$861	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Amazon	PolymarketUs	—	$73	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — DeepSeek	PolymarketUs	—	$41	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — xAI	PolymarketUs	—	$39	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Moonshot	PolymarketUs	—	$31	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Alibaba	PolymarketUs	—	$28	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Baidu	PolymarketUs	—	$22	—	—	Open
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of October? — Z.ai	PolymarketUs	—	$21	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 16 hours ago

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As of Oct 25, 08:08 AM UTC