Polymarket USOpen

Jonathan Aranda

No97%
Yes4%

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24h volume$479
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 21 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Jonathan Aranda wins the 2026 Willie Mays World Series MVP Award. If Jonathan Aranda wins the award jointly with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of winning players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not appear in the World Series for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from MLB.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jackson ChourioPolymarketUs79% NoOpen
William ContrerasPolymarketUs59% NoOpen
Junior CamineroPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
Jacob MisiorowskiPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
Drew RasmussenPolymarketUs—Open
Brice TurangPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Yandy DiazPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Chandler SimpsonPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Nick MartinezPolymarketUs—Open
Aaron AshbyPolymarketUs93% NoOpen
Christian YelichPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Jake BauersPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Logan HendersonPolymarketUs—Open
Trevor MegillPolymarketUs—Open
Garrett MitchellPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Cooper PrattPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
Bryan BakerPolymarketUs—Open
Freddy PeraltaPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Robert GasserPolymarketUs—Open
Liam HicksPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Jonny DeLucaPolymarketUs—Open
Richie PalaciosPolymarketUs—Open
Taylor WallsPolymarketUs—Open
Victor Mesa Jr.PolymarketUs—Open
Miguel VargasPolymarketUs100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Oct 25, 10:27 AM UTC