Heidi Overton Confirmed as FDA Commissioner? — By October 31, 2026

Yes—
No—

Price checked at

The latest price check failed. Showing the last known prices.

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$331
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Heidi Overton is confirmed by the US Senate to the position of Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by October 31, 2026. Outcome sourced from the US Senate. Recess appointments, acting appointments, interim appointments, or other appointments that bypass Senate confirmation do not qualify.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement times: PolymarketUs resolves January 2, 2027, while Limitless resolves January 1, 2027. They also differ in source wording: PolymarketUs specifies the Senate, whereas Limitless permits credible reporting as a consensus fallback; these are resolution-method differences, not different questions.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    Heidi Overton Confirmed as FDA Commissioner? — By October 31, 2026

    This market will settle to Yes if Heidi Overton is confirmed by the US Senate to the position of Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by October 31, 2026. Outcome sourced from the US Senate. Recess appointments, acting appointments, interim appointments, or other appointments that bypass Senate confirmation do not qualify.

    read Oct 24, 11:10 AM UTC

  • Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: October 31

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 11:55 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Heidi Overton Confirmed as FDA Commissioner? — By December 18, 2026PolymarketUs75% NoOpen
Heidi Overton Confirmed as FDA Commissioner? — By September 30, 2026PolymarketUs100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 04:58 AM UTC