Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: October 31
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: December 31 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
| Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: September 30 | Limitless | 97% No | Open |
| Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: November 30 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:35 PM UTC