Vettori vs Naurdiev: Ismail Naurdiev

Yes100%
No0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 4, 202621 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:22 AMOct 2, 10:41 PMOct 3, 01:00 PMOct 4, 03:20 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use fair-price or binary handling for certain cancellations and postponed fights, while Polymarket resolves 50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponement beyond October 17; Gemini treats draws and no contests as No. They also cite different sources and have different settlement times, without materially changing the event or winner being measured.
  • Ismail Naurdiev wins

    If Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 3, 09:15 AM UTC

  • UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    38 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 02:26 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Vettori vs Naurdiev: Ismail Naurdiev

    This market resolves to Yes if Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 3, 06:10 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Vettori vs Naurdiev: Marvin VettoriGemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:21 PM UTC