332: Vettori vs Naurdiev: Ismail Naurdiev wins

Ismail Naurdiev57%
No43%

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24h volume$1.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 20Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket explicitly uses UFC information and resolves 50-50 for a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond October 17; Kalshi uses a fair-price rule for cancellation or postponement beyond two weeks and 50/50 for a tie or No Contest. Their listed resolution times also differ, but this is not material to the event being compared.
  • Kalshithis market

    332: Vettori vs Naurdiev: Ismail Naurdiev wins

    If Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 10:32 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
332: Vettori vs Naurdiev: Marvin Vettori winsKalshi55% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC