Polymarket USOpen

US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 5000

Yes94%

No7%

Price checked at Oct 24, 03:12 PM UTC

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24h volume$7.1K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread11%

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of confirmed Measles cases reported in the United States for 2026 is greater than 5000 at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Outcome sourced from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The applicable count will be the count reported on the CDC Measles Cases and Outbreaks page (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 4500	PolymarketUs	100% Yes	$9.5K	—	—	Open
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 7500	PolymarketUs	55% Yes	$877	—	—	Open
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 4000	PolymarketUs	100% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 11 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

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Open interest—

Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 03:16 PM UTC