Polymarket USOpen

US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 7500

Yes50%
No50%

Price checked at

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24h volume$877
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread36%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of confirmed Measles cases reported in the United States for 2026 is greater than 7500 at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Outcome sourced from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The applicable count will be the count reported on the CDC Measles Cases and Outbreaks page (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 4500PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 5000PolymarketUs94% YesOpen
US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 4000PolymarketUs100% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:47 PM UTC