Grok 5 Released? — By September 30, 2026
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Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if xAI releases Grok 5 by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from xAI. A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify. Grok 5 refers to any model explicitly named Grok 5 or greater, or to any model that is identified by xAI as a new model generation successor to the Grok 4 generation. Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7 or additional decimalized Grok 4 variants will not qualify.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grok 5 Released? — By December 31, 2026 | PolymarketUs | 62% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 03:55 AM UTC