Polymarket USResolved
Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Google
Yes100%
No0%
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ResolvesSep 30, 202624 days ago
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if Google has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard at any point between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI. The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control). If multiple models from different companies are tied for rank #1, both models will be considered a #1 ranked model.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — OpenAI | PolymarketUs | 76% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Meta | PolymarketUs | 84% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — xAI | PolymarketUs | 90% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Alibaba | PolymarketUs | 92% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — DeepSeek | PolymarketUs | 96% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Z.ai | PolymarketUs | 89% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Baidu | PolymarketUs | 95% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Amazon | PolymarketUs | 96% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — ByteDance | PolymarketUs | 98% No | Open |
| Which Companies will have #1 AI Model in 2026? — Moonshot | PolymarketUs | 97% No | Open |
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As of Oct 25, 04:38 AM UTC