GeminiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Bill Hill

No79%

Yes21%

Price checked at Oct 25, 06:15 AM UTC

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24h volume—

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Spread4%

ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Bill Hill wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-AL, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in stated resolution timing and procedures: Gemini cites state authorities and national sources, while Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus. These are settlement-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.

this market
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Bill Hill
If Bill Hill wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-AL, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
read Oct 24, 02:59 AM UTC
Open
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person): Who will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election? Bill Hill
If Bill Hill wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Oct 24, 01:03 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Nick Begich	Gemini	82% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 06:19 AM UTC