GeminiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Nick Begich

Yes82%

No18%

Price checked at Oct 24, 07:48 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Nick Begich wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-AL, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in stated resolution timing and source: Kalshi permits accelerated determination after media consensus, while Gemini cites the state election authority and widely reported national sources. These are settlement-method differences, not differences in the underlying question.

Open
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person): Who will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election? Nick Begich III
If Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Oct 23, 04:16 AM UTC
this market
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Nick Begich
If Nick Begich wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-AL, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
read Oct 24, 03:35 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large? — Bill Hill	Gemini	79% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 16 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 07:55 PM UTC