Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026? — Democratic Party
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Resolution rules
This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 218 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by House leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the Speaker of the House. The contract resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party controls the House and to No otherwise. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4N0uAFXTLBUpbp1Z7iPjJi/f185eb7d03ccd2e33a41426f215b8b53/Election_Outcomes_-_Terms_and_Conditions.pdf)
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry itWhich party will win the U.S. House?: Will Democrats win the House in 2026? Democratic Party
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
read Oct 22, 07:37 AM UTC
- this market
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026? — Democratic Party
This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 218 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by House leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the Speaker of the House. The contract resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party controls the House and to No otherwise. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4N0uAFXTLBUpbp1Z7iPjJi/f185eb7d03ccd2e33a41426f215b8b53/Election_Outcomes_-_Terms_and_Conditions.pdf)
read Oct 22, 07:37 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026? — Republican Party | Gemini | 90% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 06:16 PM UTC