KalshiOpen

Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Democrats win the House in 2026? Democratic Party

Democratic Party92%
No9%

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24h volume$156.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread0%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? Republican PartyKalshi92% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:30 PM UTC