US GDP Growth in 2026? — 4.6 to 5.0
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If GDP growth in 2026 is between 4.6 to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 2.6 to 3.0 | Gemini | 84% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 1.1 to 1.5 | Gemini | 96% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 2.1 to 2.5 | Gemini | 62% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 4.1 to 4.5 | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 1.6 to 2.0 | Gemini | 72% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 0.1 to 0.5 | Gemini | 94% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 3.1 to 3.5 | Gemini | 96% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 3.6 to 4.0 | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| US GDP Growth in 2026? — 0.6 to 1.0 | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 09:59 PM UTC