KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,760 or above

No81%

7,760 or above19%

Price checked at Oct 2, 01:39 PM UTC

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24h volume$155.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 02, 2026 is above 7759.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,775 or above	Kalshi	89% No	$198.5K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	83% 7,700 or above	$197.6K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7499.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,500 or above	Kalshi	93% 7,500 or above	$187.8K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,795 or above	Kalshi	98% No	$184.6K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,770 or above	Kalshi	86% No	$175.3K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7514.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,515 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,515 or above	$164.8K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,785 or above	Kalshi	91% No	$152.7K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,595 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,595 or above	$150.7K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,590 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,590 or above	$143.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,710 or above	Kalshi	69% 7,710 or above	$142.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,740 or above	Kalshi	55% 7,740 or above	$139.5K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,550 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,550 or above	$136.4K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7509.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,510 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,510 or above	$120K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7504.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,505 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,505 or above	$46.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,705 or above	Kalshi	77% 7,705 or above	$43K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,790 or above	Kalshi	88% No	$35.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,645 or above	Kalshi	96% 7,645 or above	$17K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,530 or above	Kalshi	88% 7,530 or above	$8.6K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,745 or above	Kalshi	52% No	$6.3K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,695 or above	Kalshi	91% 7,695 or above	$5.3K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 or above	Kalshi	53% No	$3.6K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,680 or above	Kalshi	90% 7,680 or above	$2.4K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,780 or above	Kalshi	86% No	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,625 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,625 or above	$741.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,525 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,525 or above	$650.7	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 02:25 PM UTC