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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,785 or above

No87%
7,785 or above13%

Price checked at

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24h volume$153.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 03:54 AMOct 2, 07:58 AMOct 2, 12:02 PMOct 2, 04:06 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 02, 2026 is above 7784.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,775 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi79% 7,700 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7499.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,500 or aboveKalshi93% 7,500 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,795 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7514.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,515 or aboveKalshi98% 7,515 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi94% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi98% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi70% 7,710 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi95% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi95% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7509.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,510 or aboveKalshi95% 7,510 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7504.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,505 or aboveKalshi95% 7,505 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi71% 7,705 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,790 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi99% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi83% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi56% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi66% 7,715 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi88% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi60% 7,720 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi80% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi76% 7,680 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 2, 04:36 PM UTC