PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Kristina Penickova (-1.5) vs Ella McDonald (+1.5)

Ella McDonald72%
Kristina Penickova28%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$2.1K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 02:28 AMOct 2, 07:01 AMOct 2, 11:33 AMOct 2, 04:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Penickova and Ella McDonald in the W100 Templeton, CA, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kristina Penickova" if Kristina Penickova wins by 2 or more sets than Ella McDonald, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ella McDonald." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kristina Penickova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ella McDonald." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket53% Ella McDonaldOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Ella McDonald vs. Kristina Penickova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Ella McDonald (-1.5) vs Kristina Penickova (+1.5)Polymarket64% Kristina PenickovaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket50% Ella McDonaldOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw: Completed Match: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket53% YesOpen
W100 Templeton, CA: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket55% Ella McDonaldOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 2, 04:09 PM UTC