PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Ella McDonald vs Kristina Penickova

Ella McDonald53%
Kristina Penickova47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.3K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 02:28 AMOct 2, 07:01 AMOct 2, 11:33 AMOct 2, 04:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Kristina Penickova in the W100 Templeton, CA, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Ella McDonald” if Ella McDonald wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kristina Penickova” if Kristina Penickova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kristina Penickova (-1.5) vs Ella McDonald (+1.5)Polymarket72% Ella McDonaldOpen
Ella McDonald vs. Kristina Penickova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Ella McDonald (-1.5) vs Kristina Penickova (+1.5)Polymarket64% Kristina PenickovaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket50% Ella McDonaldOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw: Completed Match: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket53% YesOpen
W100 Templeton, CA: Ella McDonald vs Kristina PenickovaPolymarket55% Ella McDonaldOpen
McDonald vs. Penickova: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 2, 04:30 PM UTC