PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Benjamin Lock (-1.5) vs Manuel Plunger (+1.5)

Manuel Plunger50%
Benjamin Lock50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 07:50 PMOct 2, 12:23 AMOct 2, 04:56 AMOct 2, 09:29 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Lock and Manuel Plunger in the M25 Kigali, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Benjamin Lock" if Benjamin Lock wins by 2 or more sets than Manuel Plunger, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Manuel Plunger." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Benjamin Lock can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Manuel Plunger." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket53% Manuel PlungerOpen
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket50% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket50% Manuel PlungerOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Manuel Plunger vs. Benjamin Lock: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket50% Manuel PlungerOpen
Set Handicap: Manuel Plunger (-1.5) vs Benjamin Lock (+1.5)Polymarket50% Manuel PlungerOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 2, 09:50 AM UTC