PolymarketOpen

M25 Kigali: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin Lock

Manuel Plunger54%
Benjamin Lock46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$9.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 07:24 PMOct 1, 11:36 PMOct 2, 03:48 AMOct 2, 08:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Manuel Plunger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket53% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket54% Manuel PlungerOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Manuel Plunger vs. Benjamin Lock: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Manuel Plunger vs Benjamin LockPolymarket50% Manuel PlungerOpen
Set Handicap: Manuel Plunger (-1.5) vs Benjamin Lock (+1.5)Polymarket63% Manuel PlungerOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Plunger vs. Lock: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Benjamin Lock (-1.5) vs Manuel Plunger (+1.5)Polymarket59% Benjamin LockOpen

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As of Oct 2, 08:23 AM UTC