OpenAI IPO by date: By December 31, 2026

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 2, 07:23 AMOct 2, 08:21 PMOct 3, 09:19 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

SourcePolymarket market will-openai-ipo-by-december-31-2026

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues specify different settlement timestamps or none, which does not change the underlying question; Pascal references Polymarket as its source of truth. PredictFun, Polymarket, Opinion, and Limitless publish materially identical criteria.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    787 holders · 15 comments · read Oct 1, 11:09 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    OpenAI IPO by... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Oct 3, 09:13 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Oct 3, 02:02 AM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    OpenAI IPO by __: December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    14 holders · read Oct 3, 07:20 AM UTC

  • Pascalthis market

    OpenAI IPO by date: By December 31, 2026

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 3, 09:15 AM UTC

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As of Oct 3, 09:20 AM UTC