Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$2.1
7d volume$20.8K
30d volume$101.9K
Liquidity$18.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Limitless publish settlement timestamps, while Opinion and PredictFun do not; these differ in timing or publication only. The published resolution criteria and source standard are materially identical.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    793 holders · 15 comments · read Sep 26, 08:51 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    OpenAI IPO by... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 30, 03:18 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 30, 01:02 AM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    OpenAI IPO by __: December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    14 holders · read Sep 29, 10:50 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Polymarket55% YesOpen
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Polymarket75% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders793
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments16

Best bid 97% · best ask 97%

Top holders

  • Anjun10592971839058012204379818734015951513876214421642216097933518020153836601713
  • earshot.zenith10592971839058012204379818734015951513876214421642216097933518020153836601713
  • 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f10592971839058012204379818734015951513876214421642216097933518020153836601713
  • Insidious-Latte78959017184382580042532738046363918551357602274462396865643365060706535362447
  • Ronaldo210010592971839058012204379818734015951513876214421642216097933518020153836601713

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Discussion on Predxy

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16 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • tristanb · 4 days ago

    So the guy who always lies said something...

  • Untimely-Coverall · 16 days ago

    .. IPO in 2026.

  • Untimely-Coverall · 16 days ago

    Sam Altman said no.

  • Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc · last month

    I really hope they will IPO, it will be awesome.

  • Windy-Southeast · 2 months ago

    These openai scammers can't go public, their balance sheet is worse than enron's

  • usuch · 4 months ago

    ALTMAN EXPECTS OPENAI TO GO PUBLIC WITHIN NEXT YEAR

  • FragIT · 4 months ago

    I love israel

  • mewmew1 · 4 months ago

    inevitable

  • guhu · 4 months ago

    putting it out there

  • SeanLew · 4 months ago

    rush to market

  • Netflixer · 5 months ago

    GEMINI ONLY

  • Rooglish · 5 months ago

    All this Ai gibberish now and open ai has more problems. They are three huge companies inextricably tied to open ai and their internal disaster . Amd, microsoft, and oracle at least

  • ChainPunkTrader · 10 months ago

    insider activity been picking up quietly on this one, just putting it out there

  • hulululu · 11 months ago

    not gonna happen

  • CosmoHale · 11 months ago

    OpenAI's IPO push targeted for early 2026 is drawing massive venture capital inflows as AI ethics debates rage on in boardrooms worldwide.

  • Lindsxy · 11 months ago

    They are unlikely to seek an IPO in the short term until stable demand is established.

As of Sep 30, 03:35 AM UTC