PascalOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Alaska Senate Winner: Dan Sullivan

No75%

Yes25%

Price checked at Oct 25, 05:49 AM UTC

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24h volume$20

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

SourcePolymarket market will-dan-sullivan-win-the-alaska-senate-race-in-2026

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Opinion publish detailed AP/Fox/NBC plus certification rules and a July 31, 2027 fallback to Other; Pascal provides no criteria and simply references the Polymarket market. The resolve-at timestamps differ by one minute, which is not a material difference in question.

Open
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
309 holders · 15 comments · read Oct 2, 04:36 AM UTC
this market
Alaska Senate Winner: Dan Sullivan
The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.
read Oct 25, 05:34 AM UTC
Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Sen. Dan Sullivan
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
read Oct 25, 05:04 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Alaska Senate Winner: Mary Peltola	Pascal	76% Yes	$299	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Richard Grayson	Pascal	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Dustin Darden	Pascal	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Ann Diener	Pascal	—	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 05:57 AM UTC