Alaska Senate Winner: Mary Peltola

Yes76%
No25%

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24h volume$299
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

SourcePolymarket market will-mary-peltola-win-the-alaska-senate-race-in-2026

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Opinion publish the same resolution criteria and sources; Pascal publishes no criteria but asks the same event/outcome. The settlement times differ by one minute, which is not a material difference.
  • Pascalthis market

    Alaska Senate Winner: Mary Peltola

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 25, 04:10 AM UTC

  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    595 holders · 15 comments · read Oct 2, 05:41 AM UTC

  • Alaska Senate Election Winner — Mary Peltola

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    read Oct 25, 03:51 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alaska Senate Winner: Dan SullivanPascal75% NoOpen
Alaska Senate Winner: Richard GraysonPascal—Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Dustin DardenPascal—Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Ann DienerPascal—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 04:27 AM UTC