PolymarketOpen

Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Over50%
Under50%

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24h volume—
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Spread100%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 11:13 PMOct 2, 05:36 AMOct 2, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Dane Sweeny in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Dane SweenyPolymarket100% Alex BoltOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Dane Sweeny (-1.5) vs Alex Bolt (+1.5)Polymarket50% Dane SweenyOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Alex Bolt vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Dane SweenyPolymarket50% Alex BoltOpen
Set Handicap: Dane Sweeny (-1.5) vs Alex Bolt (+1.5)Polymarket91% Alex BoltOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny: Alex Bolt winsPolymarket71% Alex BoltOpen
Jingshan: Completed Match: Alex Bolt vs Dane SweenyPolymarket54% YesOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 12:53 PM UTC